All Sports Performance

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PERFORMANCE HEADER

Mock Placement 728x90

WTA Tour

tennis • Performance Deep Dive

Trained 2d ago Predicted 2w ago

No backtest data yet

The model hasn't been run for this market yet. Data will appear here once the pipeline has been executed.

No backtest data yet

The model hasn't been run for this market yet. Data will appear here once the pipeline has been executed.

No backtest data yet

The model hasn't been run for this market yet. Data will appear here once the pipeline has been executed.

All-Time Average (426 folds)

Flat ROI

+6.0%

Hit Rate

44.7%

-7.7pp vs b/e

Recent Trend (last 3 folds · Apr 18–May 29, 2026 ) ↑ Improving

Flat ROI

+15.4%

+9.5pp vs avg

Hit Rate

50.0%

Out-of-sample Accuracy

60.9%

Avg across 426 folds

AUC-ROC

0.669

0.5 = coin flip · 1.0 = perfect

Log Loss

0.6441

Lower is better

Brier Score

0.2272

Probability calibration

426 validation folds

Jan 6, 2007 – May 29, 2026

Final Holdout Test

Held back from all training and fold evaluation — the cleanest out-of-sample signal. Period: Jun 12, 2026 – Jul 12, 2026

Holdout AUC

0.631

0.5 = coin flip

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

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Betting Simulation

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Recommendation ROI

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Recommendation Win Rate

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Universe ROI

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Universe Win Rate

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Model: XGBoostModel

Calibration: platt