All Sports Performance

AD TEST MODE

PERFORMANCE HEADER

Mock Placement 728x90

MLB

baseball • Performance Deep Dive

Games Historic Upcoming Players Injuries

Accuracy

54.4%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC

0.556

Discrimination score

Log Loss

0.6842

Lower is better

Brier Score

0.2456

Probability calibration

139 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

Tipper+ required

Tipper membership required

Unlock fold-level charts to identify training stability.

Become a Tipper

Betting Simulation

Tipper+

Recommendation ROI

�

Recommendation Win Rate

�

Universe ROI

�

Universe Win Rate

�

Tipper membership required

Become a Tipper

Model: LightGBMModel

Calibration: platt

Accuracy

53.1%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC

0.537

Discrimination score

Log Loss

0.6865

Lower is better

Brier Score

0.2467

Probability calibration

138 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

Tipper+ required

Tipper membership required

Unlock fold-level charts to identify training stability.

Become a Tipper

Betting Simulation

Tipper+

Recommendation ROI

�

Recommendation Win Rate

�

Universe ROI

�

Universe Win Rate

�

Tipper membership required

Become a Tipper

Model: CatBoostModel

Calibration: platt

Accuracy

54.6%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC

0.545

Discrimination score

Log Loss

0.6854

Lower is better

Brier Score

0.2462

Probability calibration

138 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

Tipper+ required

Tipper membership required

Unlock fold-level charts to identify training stability.

Become a Tipper

Betting Simulation

Tipper+

Recommendation ROI

�

Recommendation Win Rate

�

Universe ROI

�

Universe Win Rate

�

Tipper membership required

Become a Tipper

Model: CatBoostModel

Calibration: platt

Accuracy

41.6%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC

0.535

Discrimination score

Log Loss

1.0739

Lower is better

Brier Score

�

Probability calibration

139 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

Tipper+ required

Tipper membership required

Unlock fold-level charts to identify training stability.

Become a Tipper

Betting Simulation

Tipper+

Recommendation ROI

�

Recommendation Win Rate

�

Universe ROI

�

Universe Win Rate

�

Tipper membership required

Become a Tipper

Model: LightGBMModel

Calibration: platt

Accuracy

45.6%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC

0.531

Discrimination score

Log Loss

1.0140

Lower is better

Brier Score

�

Probability calibration

139 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

Tipper+ required

Tipper membership required

Unlock fold-level charts to identify training stability.

Become a Tipper

Betting Simulation

Tipper+

Recommendation ROI

�

Recommendation Win Rate

�

Universe ROI

�

Universe Win Rate

�

Tipper membership required

Become a Tipper

Model: LightGBMModel

Calibration: platt

Accuracy

52.1%

Out-of-sample

AUC-ROC

0.535

Discrimination score

Log Loss

0.6887

Lower is better

Brier Score

0.2478

Probability calibration

139 validation folds

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

Tipper+ required

Tipper membership required

Unlock fold-level charts to identify training stability.

Become a Tipper

Betting Simulation

Tipper+

Recommendation ROI

�

Recommendation Win Rate

�

Universe ROI

�

Universe Win Rate

�

Tipper membership required

Become a Tipper

Model: LightGBMModel

Calibration: platt