All Sports Performance

AD TEST MODE

PERFORMANCE HEADER

Mock Placement 728x90

GOLF-PGA

other • Performance Deep Dive

Trained 2d ago Predicted Never

No backtest data yet

The model hasn't been run for this market yet. Data will appear here once the pipeline has been executed.

No backtest data yet

The model hasn't been run for this market yet. Data will appear here once the pipeline has been executed.

No backtest data yet

The model hasn't been run for this market yet. Data will appear here once the pipeline has been executed.

All-Time Average (135 folds)

Flat ROI

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Hit Rate

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Recent Trend (last 0 folds · Aug 14–Jan 15, 2026 )

Flat ROI

—

Hit Rate

—

Out-of-sample Accuracy

65.8%

Avg across 135 folds

AUC-ROC

0.663

0.5 = coin flip · 1.0 = perfect

Log Loss

0.6125

Lower is better

Brier Score

0.2132

Probability calibration

135 validation folds

Mar 17, 2005 – Jan 15, 2026

Final Holdout Test

Held back from all training and fold evaluation — the cleanest out-of-sample signal.

Holdout AUC

0.709

0.5 = coin flip

Fold-by-Fold Metrics

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Betting Simulation

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Recommendation ROI

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Recommendation Win Rate

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Universe ROI

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Universe Win Rate

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Model: XGBoostModel

Calibration: platt