Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 9:38 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.4% | 0.157 | 0.23u | Won | +0.21u |
| Mar 7, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.3% | 0.273 | 0.65u | Won | +0.59u |
| Mar 7, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.3% | 0.196 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Mar 6, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.0% | 0.261 | 0.26u | Won | +0.24u |
| Mar 6, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.4% | 0.291 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Mar 6, 2021 | epl |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.1% | 0.278 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
| Mar 6, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 25.6% | 0.420 | 0.63u | Won | +0.57u |
| Mar 6, 2021 | laliga |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 17.3% | 0.579 | 0.71u | Won | +0.65u |
| Mar 6, 2021 | laliga |
Getafe
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 20.1% | 0.526 | 0.59u | Won | +0.54u |
| Mar 6, 2021 | laliga |
Elche
Sevilla
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.6% | 0.267 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Mar 5, 2021 | laliga |
Valencia
Villarreal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.2% | 0.160 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 5, 2021 | laliga |
Valencia
Villarreal
|
Result | home | 4.20 | 37.1% | 0.557 | 1.20u | Won | +3.84u |
| Mar 4, 2021 | epl |
Fulham
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.301 | 0.53u | Won | +0.48u |
| Mar 4, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.5% | 0.270 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Mar 4, 2021 | epl |
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.6% | 0.306 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Mar 3, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.6% | 0.306 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Mar 3, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.5% | 0.270 | 0.40u | Won | +0.36u |
| Mar 3, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.1% | 0.335 | 0.60u | Won | +0.55u |
| Mar 2, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.3% | 0.331 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 1, 2021 | epl |
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Mar 1, 2021 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.7% | 0.266 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | laliga |
Celta Vigo
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.1% | 0.354 | 0.54u | Won | +0.49u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | laliga |
Real Betis
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.4% | 0.291 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | laliga |
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.5% | 0.212 | 0.21u | Won | +0.19u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | laliga |
Elche
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.3% | 0.293 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.301 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.33u | Lost | -0.33u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.6% | 0.306 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.5% | 0.307 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | laliga |
Celta Vigo
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 35.1% | 0.402 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | laliga |
Elche
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 35.9% | 0.489 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Feb 28, 2021 | laliga |
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 35.6% | 0.425 | 0.45u | Won | +1.50u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.5% | 0.270 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.301 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.7% | 0.305 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | epl |
Newcastle United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.5% | 0.270 | 0.33u | Won | +0.30u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | laliga |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.5% | 0.288 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | laliga |
Getafe
Valencia
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.7% | 0.095 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | laliga |
Sevilla
Barcelona
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.5% | 0.251 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 27, 2021 | laliga |
Alavés
Osasuna
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.4% | 0.310 | 0.56u | Won | +0.51u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | laliga |
Levante
Athletic Club
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.2% | 0.370 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 26, 2021 | laliga |
Levante
Athletic Club
|
Result | home | 3.80 | 37.3% | 0.416 | 1.19u | Lost | -1.19u |
| Feb 24, 2021 | laliga |
Barcelona
Elche
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.7% | 0.094 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 23, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.301 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 22, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.301 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 22, 2021 | laliga |
Osasuna
Sevilla
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 34.6% | 0.385 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Feb 22, 2021 | laliga |
Osasuna
Sevilla
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.4% | 0.348 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Alavés
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.4% | 0.366 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | laliga |
Barcelona
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.302 | 0.39u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | laliga |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.7% | 0.152 | 0.11u | Won | +0.10u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Villarreal
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 30.9% | 0.320 | 0.44u | Won | +0.40u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Villarreal
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.50 | 59.2% | 0.481 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.6% | 0.306 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.7% | 0.305 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Feb 21, 2021 | epl |
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.301 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.5% | 0.270 | 0.32u | Won | +0.29u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Everton
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 0.36u | Won | +0.33u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | epl |
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.301 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.8% | 0.301 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | laliga |
Elche
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 36.7% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | laliga |
Real Madrid
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.75 | 58.0% | 0.595 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | laliga |
Real Madrid
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 28.9% | 0.357 | 0.52u | Won | +0.47u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | laliga |
Atlético Madrid
Levante
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 31.7% | 0.303 | 0.38u | Won | +0.35u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | laliga |
Elche
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 40.8% | 0.129 | 0.08u | Won | +0.07u |
| Feb 20, 2021 | laliga |
Valencia
Celta Vigo
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 29.1% | 0.353 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Feb 19, 2021 | laliga |
Real Betis
Getafe
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 44.6% | 0.058 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 19, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.9% | 0.281 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 17, 2021 | epl |
Burnley
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.284 | 0.94u | Won | +0.85u |
| Feb 17, 2021 | epl |
Everton
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.4% | 0.214 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Feb 17, 2021 | laliga |
Levante
Atlético Madrid
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.0% | 0.127 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 15, 2021 | laliga |
Athletic Club
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.9% | 0.091 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 15, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
Newcastle United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 34.7% | 0.247 | 1.01u | Won | +0.92u |
| Feb 15, 2021 | epl |
West Ham United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 39.0% | 0.165 | 0.49u | Won | +0.45u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | epl |
Manchester United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.9% | 0.261 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.3% | 0.216 | 0.26u | Lost | -0.26u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | epl |
Everton
Fulham
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.3% | 0.292 | 0.45u | Won | +0.41u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | epl |
Arsenal
Leeds United
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.8% | 0.283 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | laliga |
Levante
Osasuna
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.2% | 0.123 | 0.41u | Won | +0.37u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | laliga |
Villarreal
Real Betis
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.2% | 0.104 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | laliga |
Getafe
Real Sociedad
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.1% | 0.124 | 0.42u | Won | +0.38u |
| Feb 14, 2021 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Valencia
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.117 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | laliga |
Sevilla
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.9% | 0.110 | 0.37u | Won | +0.34u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | laliga |
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.3% | 0.121 | 0.43u | Won | +0.39u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | laliga |
Barcelona
Alavés
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.4% | 0.118 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | laliga |
Atlético Madrid
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 42.6% | 0.095 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | epl |
Manchester City
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.7% | 0.228 | 0.34u | Won | +0.31u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | epl |
Brighton & Hove Albion
Aston Villa
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.7% | 0.285 | 0.51u | Won | +0.46u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | epl |
Crystal Palace
Burnley
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 35.2% | 0.237 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Feb 13, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.8% | 0.207 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Feb 12, 2021 | laliga |
Celta Vigo
Elche
|
Result | draw | 4.33 | 46.7% | 0.817 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 12, 2021 | laliga |
Celta Vigo
Elche
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 41.5% | 0.117 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 9, 2021 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Getafe
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.7% | 0.074 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | laliga |
Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 43.0% | 0.089 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | laliga |
Atlético Madrid
Celta Vigo
|
Result | draw | 3.00 | 38.1% | 0.274 | 1.09u | Won | +2.18u |
| Feb 8, 2021 | epl |
Leeds United
Crystal Palace
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 33.7% | 0.265 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | epl |
Chelsea
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.1% | 0.297 | 0.50u | Won | +0.45u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | epl |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 37.5% | 0.192 | 0.23u | Won | +0.21u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | epl |
Liverpool
Manchester City
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 32.5% | 0.289 | 0.48u | Lost | -0.48u |
| Feb 7, 2021 | epl |
Tottenham Hotspur
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 36.0% | 0.222 | 0.29u | Won | +0.26u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.