Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 6, 2026 6:53 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2017 | mls |
Sporting Kansas City
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
Result | home | 2.85 | 65.7% | 0.871 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 27, 2017 | mls |
FC Dallas
Colorado Rapids
|
Result | home | 2.10 | 69.5% | 0.460 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Sep 23, 2017 | mls |
Real Salt Lake
Seattle Sounders FC
|
Result | home | 2.05 | 68.6% | 0.406 | 0.30u | Won | +0.32u |
| Sep 23, 2017 | mls |
New York City FC
Houston Dynamo FC
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 45.4% | 0.636 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mls |
Chicago Fire FC
D.C. United
|
Result | home | 2.30 | 69.3% | 0.593 | 0.30u | Won | +0.39u |
| Sep 16, 2017 | mls |
Sporting Kansas City
New England Revolution
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 72.7% | 1.036 | 1.20u | Won | +2.16u |
| Sep 9, 2017 | mls |
Vancouver Whitecaps
Real Salt Lake
|
Result | home | 1.95 | 72.4% | 0.413 | 1.20u | Won | +1.14u |
| Sep 6, 2017 | mls |
New York City FC
Sporting Kansas City
|
Result | home | 2.20 | 69.7% | 0.534 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mls |
FC Dallas
Red Bull New York
|
Result | away | 3.10 | 3.5% | 0.499 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Sep 2, 2017 | mls |
LA Galaxy
Colorado Rapids
|
Result | away | 4.40 | 48.8% | 0.952 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 27, 2017 | mls |
CF Montréal
Toronto FC
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 48.8% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 23, 2017 | mls |
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders FC
|
Result | home | 3.00 | 50.0% | 0.500 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | laliga |
Real Oviedo
Atlético Madrid
|
Result | home | 4.70 | 38.6% | 0.813 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | laliga |
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
|
Result | home | 3.15 | 40.6% | 0.278 | 0.42u | Lost | -0.42u |
| Feb 28, 2026 | laliga |
Mallorca
Real Sociedad
|
Draw away | home | 3.15 | 48.3% | 0.627 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 22, 2026 | ligue1 |
Nice
Lorient
|
Result | home | 4.70 | 41.7% | 0.962 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | laliga |
Osasuna
Real Madrid
|
Result | home | 4.80 | 39.8% | 0.909 | 1.12u | Won | +4.26u |
| Feb 21, 2026 | laliga |
Atlético Madrid
Espanyol
|
Result | draw | 4.90 | 45.4% | 0.462 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 15, 2026 | ligue1 |
Lyon
Nice
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 45.8% | 0.420 | 0.60u | Won | +1.26u |
| Feb 15, 2026 | ligue1 |
Lorient
Angers
|
Result | home | 3.45 | 45.0% | 0.551 | 0.90u | Won | +2.21u |
| Feb 9, 2026 | laliga |
Villarreal
Espanyol
|
Result | draw | 3.95 | 39.9% | 0.373 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Feb 8, 2026 | laliga |
Sevilla
Girona
|
Result | draw | 4.80 | 45.3% | 0.650 | 0.61u | Won | +2.32u |
| Feb 8, 2026 | laliga |
Alavés
Getafe
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 30.3% | 0.517 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 8, 2026 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Levante
|
Result | draw | 3.90 | 41.6% | 0.528 | 0.50u | Lost | -0.50u |
| Feb 7, 2026 | laliga |
Barcelona
Mallorca
|
Result | draw | 3.95 | 46.3% | 0.432 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Feb 1, 2026 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Real Sociedad
|
Draw away | home | 2.90 | 46.1% | 0.563 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 31, 2026 | laliga |
Elche
Barcelona
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 30.3% | 0.514 | 1.03u | Lost | -1.03u |
| Jan 31, 2026 | laliga |
Real Oviedo
Girona
|
Draw away | home | 2.75 | 37.3% | 0.725 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Jan 18, 2026 | laliga |
Atlético Madrid
Alavés
|
Result | home | 4.70 | 40.9% | 0.922 | 1.05u | Won | +3.89u |
| Jan 18, 2026 | laliga |
Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 44.9% | 0.539 | 0.45u | Lost | -0.45u |
| Jan 18, 2026 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Barcelona
|
Draw away | home | 2.50 | 49.9% | 0.254 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jan 17, 2026 | laliga |
Osasuna
Real Oviedo
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 40.7% | 0.505 | 1.20u | Won | +3.24u |
| Jan 11, 2026 | laliga |
Levante
Espanyol
|
Result | home | 3.15 | 41.3% | 0.302 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jan 10, 2026 | laliga |
Girona
Osasuna
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 41.1% | 0.605 | 1.20u | Won | +3.48u |
| Jan 2, 2026 | laliga |
Rayo Vallecano
Getafe
|
Result | away | 4.50 | 32.5% | 0.457 | 1.05u | Lost | -1.05u |
| Dec 22, 2025 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Espanyol
|
Result | away | 4.70 | 32.7% | 0.546 | 1.18u | Won | +4.37u |
| Dec 21, 2025 | laliga |
Real Betis
Getafe
|
Result | draw | 4.40 | 33.1% | 0.452 | 0.64u | Lost | -0.64u |
| Dec 21, 2025 | laliga |
Girona
Atlético Madrid
|
Result | home | 4.90 | 31.9% | 0.564 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Dec 7, 2025 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 32.6% | 0.478 | 0.70u | Won | +1.89u |
| Dec 7, 2025 | laliga |
Espanyol
Rayo Vallecano
|
Result | away | 3.20 | 32.4% | 0.476 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Dec 6, 2025 | laliga |
Alavés
Real Sociedad
|
Result | draw | 4.10 | 29.8% | 0.397 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Dec 6, 2025 | laliga |
Villarreal
Getafe
|
Result | home | 2.75 | 49.4% | 0.358 | 0.83u | Won | +1.45u |
| Dec 6, 2025 | laliga |
Villarreal
Getafe
|
Draw away | home | 2.75 | 45.8% | 0.490 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Dec 2, 2025 | laliga |
Barcelona
Atlético Madrid
|
Result | away | 4.40 | 46.8% | 0.417 | 0.98u | Lost | -0.98u |
| Nov 30, 2025 | laliga |
Sevilla
Real Betis
|
Draw away | home | 2.60 | 33.5% | 0.728 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 30, 2025 | ligue1 |
Angers
Lens
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 42.2% | 0.941 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Nov 30, 2025 | ligue1 |
Strasbourg
Brest
|
Result | home | 4.40 | 42.8% | 0.884 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Nov 29, 2025 | ligue1 |
Paris FC
AJ Auxerre
|
Result | home | 4.40 | 43.8% | 0.927 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 28, 2025 | ligue1 |
Metz
Stade Rennais
|
Result | home | 3.70 | 45.5% | 0.683 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 9, 2025 | laliga |
Valencia
Real Betis
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 28.6% | 0.404 | 0.92u | Won | +3.22u |
| Nov 8, 2025 | laliga |
Sevilla
Osasuna
|
Result | away | 3.70 | 30.6% | 0.343 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Oct 26, 2025 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Barcelona
|
Result | draw | 4.33 | 31.0% | 0.477 | 1.15u | Lost | -1.15u |
| Oct 25, 2025 | laliga |
Valencia
Villarreal
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 38.9% | 0.440 | 0.38u | Won | +1.44u |
| Oct 25, 2025 | laliga |
Espanyol
Elche
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 31.2% | 0.682 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Oct 24, 2025 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 36.4% | 0.311 | 0.96u | Won | +2.50u |
| Oct 24, 2025 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
|
Draw away | home | 3.60 | 44.7% | 0.989 | 1.20u | Won | +3.12u |
| Oct 18, 2025 | laliga |
Atlético Madrid
Osasuna
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 37.5% | 0.648 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 18, 2025 | laliga |
Barcelona
Girona
|
Draw away | home | 3.50 | 45.2% | 0.917 | 1.20u | Won | +3.00u |
| Oct 5, 2025 | laliga |
Sevilla
Barcelona
|
Result | home | 4.40 | 44.6% | 0.963 | 1.20u | Won | +4.08u |
| Sep 27, 2025 | laliga |
Getafe
Levante
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 43.2% | 0.340 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Sep 22, 2025 | ligue1 |
Marseille
Paris Saint-Germain
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 38.9% | 0.557 | 1.20u | Won | +3.60u |
| Sep 20, 2025 | ligue1 |
Lens
Lille
|
Result | home | 3.90 | 39.2% | 0.528 | 1.20u | Won | +3.48u |
| Sep 13, 2025 | laliga |
Atlético Madrid
Villarreal
|
Result | away | 4.40 | 29.2% | 0.628 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 23, 2025 | laliga |
Mallorca
Celta Vigo
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 47.7% | 0.527 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 18, 2025 | laliga |
Elche
Real Betis
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 47.7% | 0.549 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 25, 2025 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Barcelona
|
Result | away | 3.90 | 36.2% | 0.375 | 1.03u | Won | +2.99u |
| May 25, 2025 | laliga |
Villarreal
Sevilla
|
Draw away | home | 3.20 | 41.5% | 0.873 | 1.20u | Won | +2.64u |
| May 24, 2025 | laliga |
Alavés
Osasuna
|
Result | draw | 4.10 | 39.0% | 0.387 | 0.58u | Won | +1.80u |
| May 24, 2025 | laliga |
Espanyol
Las Palmas
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 35.4% | 0.546 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| May 24, 2025 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
|
Draw away | home | 4.60 | 49.0% | 1.347 | 1.20u | Won | +4.32u |
| May 15, 2025 | laliga |
Espanyol
Barcelona
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 49.7% | 0.590 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 15, 2025 | laliga |
Rayo Vallecano
Real Betis
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 49.7% | 0.591 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| May 15, 2025 | laliga |
Getafe
Athletic Club
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 49.8% | 0.743 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| May 13, 2025 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Celta Vigo
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 51.5% | 0.549 | 0.48u | Won | +1.82u |
| May 13, 2025 | laliga |
Real Valladolid
Girona
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 50.5% | 1.324 | 1.02u | Lost | -1.02u |
| May 10, 2025 | laliga |
Mallorca
Real Valladolid
|
Result | home | 2.85 | 50.0% | 0.425 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| May 9, 2025 | laliga |
Las Palmas
Rayo Vallecano
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 50.5% | 0.339 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| May 5, 2025 | laliga |
Girona
Mallorca
|
Result | away | 3.90 | 51.9% | 0.376 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| May 4, 2025 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
|
Result | home | 3.25 | 49.4% | 0.605 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| May 3, 2025 | laliga |
Real Valladolid
Barcelona
|
Result | home | 2.65 | 49.5% | 0.313 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 24, 2025 | laliga |
Osasuna
Sevilla
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 49.0% | 0.520 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Apr 21, 2025 | laliga |
Girona
Real Betis
|
Result | home | 2.60 | 48.9% | 0.270 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | laliga |
Real Valladolid
Osasuna
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 53.2% | 0.421 | 0.35u | Won | +1.33u |
| Apr 20, 2025 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
|
Result | home | 4.80 | 46.5% | 1.233 | 1.15u | Won | +4.37u |
| Apr 18, 2025 | laliga |
Espanyol
Getafe
|
Result | home | 2.70 | 45.9% | 0.238 | 1.12u | Won | +1.90u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | laliga |
Real Betis
Villarreal
|
Result | home | 4.60 | 44.3% | 1.037 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Apr 13, 2025 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano
|
Result | home | 2.50 | 49.3% | 0.233 | 0.50u | Won | +0.75u |
| Apr 5, 2025 | ligue1 |
Paris Saint-Germain
Angers
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 40.4% | 0.839 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | laliga |
Athletic Club
Osasuna
|
Result | away | 4.80 | 34.0% | 0.568 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Mar 30, 2025 | laliga |
Valencia
Mallorca
|
Result | draw | 4.33 | 38.4% | 0.442 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Mar 29, 2025 | laliga |
Real Madrid
Leganés
|
Result | draw | 4.80 | 33.9% | 0.722 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 14, 2025 | laliga |
Las Palmas
Alavés
|
Home away | draw | 2.85 | 36.0% | 0.823 | 1.20u | Won | +2.22u |
| Mar 10, 2025 | laliga |
Espanyol
Girona
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 39.8% | 0.352 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Mar 9, 2025 | laliga |
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
|
Result | home | 4.80 | 36.9% | 0.770 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 2, 2025 | laliga |
Osasuna
Valencia
|
Home away | draw | 3.10 | 23.7% | 1.365 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Mar 1, 2025 | laliga |
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 41.4% | 0.491 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 1, 2025 | laliga |
Girona
Celta Vigo
|
Home away | draw | 3.00 | 31.9% | 1.044 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Mar 1, 2025 | ligue1 |
Paris Saint-Germain
Lille
|
Result | home | 4.80 | 38.4% | 0.841 | 1.20u | Won | +4.56u |
| Feb 16, 2025 | laliga |
Espanyol
Athletic Club
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 35.1% | 0.403 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Feb 16, 2025 | laliga |
Real Valladolid
Sevilla
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 35.2% | 0.762 | 1.06u | Lost | -1.06u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.