Case Archive

Historical Audit

Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.

Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 1:11 PM EDT

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Date	Sport	Game	Market	Pick	Odds	Prob	EV/Unit	Units	Result	PnL
Oct 30, 2019	seriea	Sampdoria Lecce	Result	draw	3.40	39.6%	0.349	0.16u	Won	+0.38u
Oct 30, 2019	seriea	Sassuolo Fiorentina	Result	home	3.80	43.5%	0.653	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Oct 30, 2019	seriea	Cagliari Bologna	Result	draw	3.80	40.4%	0.580	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 30, 2019	mls	Atlanta United FC Toronto FC	Total over	under	1.91	7.9%	0.758	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Oct 30, 2019	seriea	Napoli Atalanta	Total over	under	1.91	21.0%	0.509	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Oct 30, 2019	seriea	Cagliari Bologna	Total over	under	1.91	22.2%	0.485	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Oct 30, 2019	seriea	Udinese AS Roma	Total over	under	1.91	21.8%	0.494	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 30, 2019	seriea	Lazio Torino	Total over	under	1.91	22.0%	0.490	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 29, 2019	seriea	Brescia Internazionale	Total over	under	1.91	28.6%	0.363	0.80u	Won	+0.73u
Oct 29, 2019	seriea	Parma Hellas Verona	Total over	under	1.91	30.0%	0.337	0.70u	Won	+0.64u
Oct 29, 2019	mls	LAFC Seattle Sounders FC	Total over	under	1.91	2.9%	0.853	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Oct 29, 2019	seriea	Brescia Internazionale	Result	draw	5.00	37.7%	0.217	0.43u	Lost	-0.43u
Oct 29, 2019	seriea	Parma Hellas Verona	Result	draw	3.10	39.9%	0.143	0.54u	Lost	-0.54u
Oct 27, 2019	seriea	Atalanta Udinese	Result	away	4.00	37.5%	0.497	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 27, 2019	seriea	Fiorentina Lazio	Result	draw	4.75	47.7%	0.778	0.67u	Lost	-0.67u
Oct 27, 2019	seriea	AS Roma AC Milan	Result	draw	3.40	41.4%	0.361	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Oct 27, 2019	seriea	Bologna Sampdoria	Total over	under	1.91	34.6%	0.249	0.20u	Lost	-0.20u
Oct 27, 2019	seriea	Fiorentina Lazio	Total over	under	1.91	28.0%	0.375	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Oct 27, 2019	seriea	SPAL Napoli	Total over	under	1.91	28.6%	0.364	0.40u	Won	+0.36u
Oct 27, 2019	seriea	Atalanta Udinese	Total over	under	1.91	26.5%	0.403	0.48u	Lost	-0.48u
Oct 26, 2019	seriea	Genoa Brescia	Total over	under	1.91	25.2%	0.427	0.65u	Lost	-0.65u
Oct 26, 2019	seriea	Lecce Juventus	Total over	under	1.91	28.5%	0.364	0.48u	Won	+0.44u
Oct 26, 2019	seriea	Internazionale Parma	Total over	under	1.91	31.0%	0.317	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 26, 2019	seriea	Genoa Brescia	Result	draw	4.75	33.4%	0.465	0.71u	Lost	-0.71u
Oct 26, 2019	seriea	Lecce Juventus	Result	draw	3.60	45.2%	0.433	0.79u	Won	+2.05u
Oct 25, 2019	seriea	Hellas Verona Sassuolo	Result	draw	3.30	39.4%	0.120	0.42u	Lost	-0.42u
Oct 25, 2019	seriea	Hellas Verona Sassuolo	Total over	under	1.91	27.7%	0.380	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Oct 21, 2019	seriea	Brescia Fiorentina	Total over	under	1.91	29.1%	0.353	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Oct 21, 2019	seriea	Brescia Fiorentina	Result	home	4.50	36.7%	0.650	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Oct 20, 2019	seriea	Udinese Torino	Result	draw	3.50	36.8%	0.370	0.44u	Lost	-0.44u
Oct 20, 2019	seriea	Cagliari SPAL	Result	draw	3.80	44.3%	0.258	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Oct 20, 2019	seriea	Sassuolo Internazionale	Result	away	3.75	33.6%	0.272	0.24u	Won	+0.66u
Oct 20, 2019	seriea	Parma Genoa	Result	draw	4.50	42.8%	1.004	0.61u	Lost	-0.61u
Oct 20, 2019	seriea	Sampdoria AS Roma	Total over	under	1.91	19.1%	0.545	0.45u	Won	+0.41u
Oct 20, 2019	seriea	Udinese Torino	Total over	under	1.91	22.5%	0.480	0.36u	Won	+0.33u
Oct 20, 2019	seriea	Sassuolo Internazionale	Total over	under	1.91	21.8%	0.493	0.37u	Lost	-0.37u
Oct 20, 2019	seriea	AC Milan Lecce	Total over	under	1.91	23.9%	0.453	0.32u	Lost	-0.32u
Oct 19, 2019	seriea	Lazio Atalanta	Total over	under	1.91	20.3%	0.522	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Oct 19, 2019	seriea	Juventus Bologna	Total over	under	1.91	32.9%	0.281	0.29u	Won	+0.26u
Oct 19, 2019	seriea	Napoli Hellas Verona	Total over	under	1.91	32.8%	0.283	0.29u	Won	+0.26u
Oct 19, 2019	seriea	Napoli Hellas Verona	Result	draw	3.75	52.1%	0.443	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Oct 19, 2019	seriea	Juventus Bologna	Result	draw	4.75	52.8%	0.728	1.00u	Lost	-1.00u
Oct 6, 2019	mls	Toronto FC Columbus Crew	Home draw	1x	1.67	78.7%	0.311	0.30u	Won	+0.20u
Oct 6, 2019	mls	D.C. United FC Cincinnati	Home draw	1x	1.73	77.6%	0.340	1.20u	Won	+0.87u
Oct 6, 2019	seriea	Torino Napoli	Result	draw	4.00	32.4%	0.456	0.56u	Won	+1.68u
Oct 6, 2019	seriea	Internazionale Juventus	Result	draw	5.00	30.3%	0.880	0.93u	Lost	-0.93u
Oct 6, 2019	mls	Philadelphia Union New York City FC	Total over	under	1.91	6.6%	0.783	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Oct 6, 2019	mls	FC Dallas Sporting Kansas City	Total over	under	1.91	10.3%	0.713	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Oct 6, 2019	mls	Toronto FC Columbus Crew	Draw away	home	2.80	27.0%	1.044	1.20u	Won	+2.16u
Oct 6, 2019	mls	CF Montréal Red Bull New York	Draw away	home	2.45	21.1%	0.933	0.30u	Won	+0.44u
Oct 6, 2019	seriea	Torino Napoli	Total over	under	1.91	31.6%	0.306	0.43u	Won	+0.39u
Oct 6, 2019	seriea	Atalanta Lecce	Total over	under	1.91	32.7%	0.285	0.38u	Lost	-0.38u
Oct 6, 2019	seriea	Internazionale Juventus	Total over	under	1.91	33.1%	0.277	0.36u	Lost	-0.36u
Oct 6, 2019	seriea	AS Roma Cagliari	Total over	under	1.91	33.8%	0.264	0.33u	Won	+0.30u
Oct 5, 2019	seriea	SPAL Parma	Total over	under	1.91	43.3%	0.083	0.12u	Won	+0.11u
Oct 5, 2019	seriea	Genoa AC Milan	Total over	under	1.91	33.7%	0.267	0.92u	Lost	-0.92u
Oct 5, 2019	seriea	Hellas Verona Sampdoria	Total over	under	1.91	38.0%	0.183	0.46u	Won	+0.42u
Oct 5, 2019	seriea	Genoa AC Milan	Result	draw	3.30	32.0%	0.094	0.33u	Lost	-0.33u
Oct 5, 2019	seriea	SPAL Parma	Result	draw	3.30	32.6%	0.185	0.64u	Lost	-0.64u
Oct 5, 2019	seriea	Hellas Verona Sampdoria	Result	draw	3.30	33.4%	0.116	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 30, 2019	seriea	Parma Torino	Total over	under	1.91	25.2%	0.428	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 29, 2019	seriea	Cagliari Hellas Verona	Total over	under	1.91	32.2%	0.294	0.44u	Won	+0.40u
Sep 29, 2019	seriea	Lecce AS Roma	Total over	under	1.91	35.6%	0.229	0.28u	Won	+0.25u
Sep 29, 2019	seriea	Udinese Bologna	Total over	under	1.91	33.6%	0.267	0.37u	Won	+0.34u
Sep 29, 2019	seriea	AC Milan Fiorentina	Total over	under	1.91	33.1%	0.278	0.40u	Lost	-0.40u
Sep 29, 2019	mls	Red Bull New York D.C. United	Home draw	1x	1.36	81.5%	0.111	1.20u	Won	+0.44u
Sep 29, 2019	seriea	Napoli Brescia	Result	away	3.30	37.2%	0.139	0.21u	Lost	-0.21u
Sep 29, 2019	seriea	Cagliari Hellas Verona	Result	home	5.00	37.4%	0.871	1.11u	Lost	-1.11u
Sep 29, 2019	seriea	Udinese Bologna	Result	home	3.00	37.4%	0.122	0.18u	Won	+0.36u
Sep 29, 2019	mls	Minnesota United FC LAFC	Total over	under	1.91	7.3%	0.770	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Sep 29, 2019	mls	Sporting Kansas City Portland Timbers	Total over	under	1.91	8.6%	0.744	0.30u	Won	+0.27u
Sep 29, 2019	mls	LA Galaxy Vancouver Whitecaps	Draw away	home	2.80	42.5%	0.609	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 29, 2019	mls	Red Bull New York D.C. United	Draw away	home	2.20	24.3%	0.664	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 28, 2019	seriea	Juventus SPAL	Result	home	4.20	37.7%	0.585	1.20u	Won	+3.84u
Sep 28, 2019	seriea	Sampdoria Internazionale	Result	home	3.20	37.7%	0.208	0.30u	Lost	-0.30u
Sep 28, 2019	seriea	Sassuolo Atalanta	Total over	under	1.91	42.1%	0.105	0.18u	Lost	-0.18u
Sep 28, 2019	seriea	Sampdoria Internazionale	Total over	under	1.91	31.3%	0.311	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 28, 2019	seriea	Juventus SPAL	Total over	under	1.91	43.3%	0.082	0.12u	Won	+0.11u
Sep 26, 2019	seriea	Torino AC Milan	Total over	under	1.91	39.8%	0.149	1.20u	Lost	-1.20u
Sep 25, 2019	seriea	Parma Sassuolo	Total over	under	1.91	25.4%	0.423	0.37u	Won	+0.34u
Sep 25, 2019	seriea	Fiorentina Sampdoria	Total over	under	1.91	22.3%	0.483	0.47u	Lost	-0.47u
Sep 25, 2019	seriea	Genoa Bologna	Total over	under	1.91	32.1%	0.297	0.19u	Won	+0.17u
Sep 25, 2019	seriea	AS Roma Atalanta	Total over	under	1.91	22.4%	0.481	0.47u	Won	+0.43u
Sep 25, 2019	seriea	SPAL Lecce	Result	draw	4.00	37.7%	0.114	0.11u	Lost	-0.11u
Sep 25, 2019	seriea	Genoa Bologna	Result	away	3.90	37.7%	0.345	0.88u	Lost	-0.88u
Sep 25, 2019	seriea	AS Roma Atalanta	Result	away	3.60	37.4%	0.243	0.51u	Won	+1.33u
Sep 25, 2019	mls	LAFC Houston Dynamo FC	Total over	under	1.91	2.3%	0.866	0.30u	Won	+0.27u
Sep 25, 2019	mls	Portland Timbers New England Revolution	Total over	under	1.91	2.1%	0.870	1.20u	Won	+1.09u
Sep 24, 2019	seriea	Hellas Verona Udinese	Result	draw	4.20	37.4%	0.179	0.45u	Won	+1.44u
Sep 24, 2019	seriea	Brescia Juventus	Total over	under	1.91	35.4%	0.234	0.45u	Lost	-0.45u
Sep 24, 2019	seriea	Hellas Verona Udinese	Total over	under	1.91	28.4%	0.368	1.05u	Won	+0.95u
Sep 22, 2019	seriea	Sampdoria Torino	Total over	under	1.91	32.5%	0.289	0.41u	Won	+0.37u
Sep 22, 2019	seriea	Bologna AS Roma	Total over	under	1.91	34.4%	0.252	0.32u	Won	+0.29u
Sep 22, 2019	seriea	Lecce Napoli	Total over	under	1.91	30.7%	0.323	0.50u	Lost	-0.50u
Sep 22, 2019	seriea	Lazio Parma	Total over	under	1.91	35.5%	0.231	0.27u	Won	+0.25u
Sep 22, 2019	seriea	Sampdoria Torino	Result	draw	4.80	37.4%	0.347	0.53u	Lost	-0.53u
Sep 22, 2019	seriea	Sassuolo SPAL	Result	away	4.00	37.7%	0.380	0.77u	Lost	-0.77u
Sep 22, 2019	seriea	Lazio Parma	Result	home	3.00	37.7%	0.130	0.15u	Won	+0.30u
Sep 22, 2019	seriea	Atalanta Fiorentina	Result	away	3.10	37.7%	0.068	0.05u	Lost	-0.05u
Sep 22, 2019	mls	D.C. United Seattle Sounders FC	Total over	under	1.91	5.9%	0.797	0.30u	Won	+0.27u

* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.