Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 10:15 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | mls |
Sporting Kansas City
Philadelphia Union
|
Home away | draw | 3.75 | 40.4% | 1.234 | 0.30u | Won | +0.83u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | mls |
Colorado Rapids
Nashville SC
|
Home away | draw | 4.20 | 45.8% | 1.278 | 1.20u | Won | +3.84u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | mls |
Portland Timbers
D.C. United
|
Home away | draw | 3.75 | 38.2% | 1.316 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | seriea |
AS Roma
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 36.9% | 0.330 | 0.78u | Lost | -0.78u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | seriea |
Torino
Fiorentina
|
Result | draw | 3.75 | 26.5% | 0.315 | 0.65u | Won | +1.79u |
| Mar 2, 2024 | seriea |
Udinese
|
Result | away | 3.10 | 32.9% | 0.081 | 0.07u | Lost | -0.07u |
| Mar 1, 2024 | seriea |
Lazio
AC Milan
|
Result | home | 3.40 | 35.7% | 0.213 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Feb 28, 2024 | seriea |
Internazionale
Atalanta
|
Result | draw | 4.00 | 35.3% | 0.110 | 0.29u | Lost | -0.29u |
| Feb 28, 2024 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Napoli
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 33.1% | 0.488 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Feb 26, 2024 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Lazio
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 31.1% | 0.382 | 0.92u | Lost | -0.92u |
| Feb 26, 2024 | seriea |
AS Roma
Torino
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 35.3% | 0.162 | 0.46u | Lost | -0.46u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | seriea |
Juventus
|
Result | away | 3.00 | 35.8% | 0.051 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | seriea |
AC Milan
Atalanta
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 31.5% | 0.364 | 0.87u | Lost | -0.87u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | mls |
FC Cincinnati
Toronto FC
|
Home draw | 1x | 1.44 | 77.8% | 0.124 | 1.20u | Won | +0.53u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | mls |
Nashville SC
Red Bull New York
|
Home away | draw | 3.80 | 48.4% | 0.959 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | mls |
Nashville SC
Red Bull New York
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 37.5% | 0.636 | 1.20u | Won | +3.36u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | mls |
LA Galaxy
Inter Miami CF
|
Result | draw | 4.00 | 38.1% | 0.606 | 0.30u | Won | +0.90u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | mls |
Nashville SC
Red Bull New York
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 9.2% | 0.734 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 25, 2024 | mls |
LA Galaxy
Inter Miami CF
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 15.2% | 0.620 | 0.30u | Won | +0.27u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
Houston Dynamo FC
Sporting Kansas City
|
Result | draw | 4.33 | 37.5% | 0.768 | 1.20u | Won | +4.00u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
FC Dallas
San Jose Earthquakes
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 36.8% | 0.684 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
Orlando City SC
CF Montréal
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 32.7% | 0.850 | 0.30u | Won | +0.96u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
LAFC
Seattle Sounders FC
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 8.9% | 0.739 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
Portland Timbers
Colorado Rapids
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 6.8% | 0.779 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
Charlotte FC
New York City FC
|
Draw away | home | 2.30 | 48.4% | 0.188 | 0.30u | Won | +0.39u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
Houston Dynamo FC
Sporting Kansas City
|
Draw away | x2 | 2.30 | 52.6% | 0.209 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
Columbus Crew
Atlanta United FC
|
Home away | 12 | 1.25 | 88.2% | 0.102 | 0.30u | Won | +0.08u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
D.C. United
New England Revolution
|
Home away | draw | 3.50 | 48.3% | 0.810 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | mls |
St. Louis CITY SC
Real Salt Lake
|
Home away | draw | 3.25 | 49.3% | 0.649 | 1.20u | Won | +2.70u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | seriea |
Sassuolo
|
Result | away | 3.25 | 32.0% | 0.165 | 0.59u | Won | +1.33u |
| Feb 24, 2024 | seriea |
Genoa
Udinese
|
Result | away | 3.30 | 33.4% | 0.189 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Feb 21, 2024 | mls |
Inter Miami CF
Real Salt Lake
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 33.5% | 0.441 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Feb 21, 2024 | mls |
Inter Miami CF
Real Salt Lake
|
Total over | under | 1.91 | 2.8% | 0.856 | 1.20u | Won | +1.09u |
| Feb 18, 2024 | seriea |
Fiorentina
|
Result | away | 4.33 | 29.3% | 0.642 | 0.58u | Lost | -0.58u |
| Feb 18, 2024 | seriea |
Lazio
Bologna
|
Result | away | 3.20 | 35.8% | 0.298 | 0.23u | Won | +0.51u |
| Feb 18, 2024 | seriea |
AC Milan
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 37.0% | 0.850 | 0.58u | Won | +2.32u |
| Feb 18, 2024 | seriea |
Udinese
Cagliari
|
Result | draw | 3.60 | 32.6% | 0.214 | 0.11u | Won | +0.29u |
| Feb 17, 2024 | seriea |
Napoli
Genoa
|
Result | draw | 3.50 | 32.4% | 0.068 | 0.22u | Won | +0.55u |
| Feb 16, 2024 | seriea |
Torino
Lecce
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 43.4% | 0.287 | 1.04u | Lost | -1.04u |
| Feb 14, 2024 | seriea |
Bologna
Fiorentina
|
Result | home | 2.50 | 50.2% | 0.255 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Feb 11, 2024 | seriea |
AC Milan
Napoli
|
Result | draw | 3.75 | 40.2% | 0.607 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Feb 11, 2024 | seriea |
Genoa
Atalanta
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 43.7% | 0.188 | 0.07u | Won | +0.21u |
| Feb 11, 2024 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 44.8% | 0.793 | 0.75u | Lost | -0.75u |
| Feb 10, 2024 | seriea |
Cagliari
Lazio
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 43.1% | 0.553 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Feb 10, 2024 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Torino
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 45.7% | 0.508 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Feb 10, 2024 | seriea |
AS Roma
Internazionale
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 47.3% | 1.049 | 0.67u | Lost | -0.67u |
| Feb 9, 2024 | seriea |
|
Result | away | 3.10 | 39.0% | 0.155 | 0.59u | Won | +1.24u |
| Feb 5, 2024 | seriea |
AS Roma
Cagliari
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 47.1% | 0.151 | 0.38u | Lost | -0.38u |
| Feb 4, 2024 | seriea |
Atalanta
Lazio
|
Result | away | 5.00 | 45.8% | 0.199 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Feb 4, 2024 | seriea |
Internazionale
Juventus
|
Result | draw | 3.30 | 43.2% | 0.048 | 0.05u | Lost | -0.05u |
| Feb 4, 2024 | seriea |
Torino
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 45.2% | 0.503 | 1.15u | Won | +4.03u |
| Feb 3, 2024 | seriea |
Udinese
|
Result | away | 3.80 | 40.3% | 0.187 | 0.15u | Lost | -0.15u |
| Feb 3, 2024 | seriea |
AC Milan
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 46.0% | 0.303 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Feb 3, 2024 | seriea |
Genoa
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 45.9% | 1.067 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Feb 3, 2024 | seriea |
Bologna
Sassuolo
|
Result | home | 2.88 | 43.4% | 0.250 | 0.33u | Won | +0.62u |
| Feb 2, 2024 | seriea |
Lecce
Fiorentina
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 34.1% | 0.226 | 0.70u | Won | +1.82u |
| Jan 29, 2024 | seriea |
AS Roma
|
Result | draw | 3.75 | 37.4% | 0.085 | 0.25u | Lost | -0.25u |
| Jan 28, 2024 | seriea |
Sassuolo
|
Result | home | 4.75 | 42.7% | 1.027 | 1.20u | Won | +4.50u |
| Jan 28, 2024 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 43.0% | 0.171 | 0.30u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jan 27, 2024 | seriea |
Atalanta
Udinese
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 41.8% | 0.398 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Jan 26, 2024 | seriea |
Cagliari
Torino
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 37.5% | 0.350 | 1.08u | Lost | -1.08u |
| Jan 21, 2024 | seriea |
Genoa
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 37.2% | 0.257 | 0.86u | Lost | -0.86u |
| Jan 21, 2024 | seriea |
Lecce
Juventus
|
Result | home | 3.20 | 33.3% | 0.065 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Jan 21, 2024 | seriea |
Cagliari
|
Result | draw | 3.30 | 38.6% | 0.060 | 0.21u | Lost | -0.21u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | seriea |
AS Roma
Hellas Verona
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 40.2% | 0.577 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Jan 20, 2024 | seriea |
Udinese
AC Milan
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 36.2% | 0.448 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Jan 16, 2024 | seriea |
Juventus
Sassuolo
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 48.8% | 0.612 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 15, 2024 | seriea |
Atalanta
|
Result | draw | 5.00 | 48.1% | 0.585 | 1.17u | Lost | -1.17u |
| Jan 14, 2024 | seriea |
Cagliari
Bologna
|
Result | draw | 3.80 | 47.3% | 0.400 | 0.80u | Lost | -0.80u |
| Jan 14, 2024 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Udinese
|
Result | home | 3.10 | 42.0% | 0.301 | 0.57u | Lost | -0.57u |
| Jan 14, 2024 | seriea |
Lazio
Lecce
|
Result | draw | 3.20 | 47.3% | 0.128 | 0.13u | Lost | -0.13u |
| Jan 13, 2024 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
|
Result | draw | 3.25 | 47.7% | 0.103 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Jan 13, 2024 | seriea |
Internazionale
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 47.4% | 0.338 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jan 7, 2024 | seriea |
Udinese
Lazio
|
Result | home | 5.00 | 44.0% | 1.198 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jan 7, 2024 | seriea |
AS Roma
Atalanta
|
Result | home | 2.50 | 46.8% | 0.170 | 0.10u | Lost | -0.10u |
| Jan 7, 2024 | seriea |
Juventus
|
Result | draw | 4.10 | 45.4% | 0.395 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 7, 2024 | seriea |
AC Milan
|
Result | home | 3.50 | 44.9% | 0.572 | 0.55u | Lost | -0.55u |
| Jan 6, 2024 | seriea |
Internazionale
Hellas Verona
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 45.9% | 0.184 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Jan 6, 2024 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Fiorentina
|
Result | home | 3.30 | 45.9% | 0.513 | 1.20u | Won | +2.76u |
| Dec 30, 2023 | seriea |
Juventus
AS Roma
|
Result | away | 4.00 | 58.3% | 0.268 | 0.08u | Lost | -0.08u |
| Dec 30, 2023 | seriea |
Atalanta
Lecce
|
Result | away | 4.20 | 48.2% | 0.889 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Dec 30, 2023 | seriea |
Cagliari
|
Result | home | 3.60 | 52.1% | 0.877 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Dec 29, 2023 | seriea |
Genoa
Internazionale
|
Result | draw | 4.20 | 47.7% | 0.088 | 0.22u | Won | +0.70u |
| Dec 29, 2023 | seriea |
Napoli
|
Result | draw | 3.10 | 35.0% | 0.563 | 1.20u | Won | +2.52u |
| Dec 23, 2023 | seriea |
Torino
Udinese
|
Result | draw | 3.50 | 35.6% | 0.644 | 0.49u | Won | +1.23u |
| Dec 23, 2023 | seriea |
AS Roma
Napoli
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 58.0% | 0.623 | 0.50u | Won | +0.90u |
| Dec 23, 2023 | seriea |
Juventus
|
Result | home | 2.38 | 53.7% | 0.278 | 0.14u | Lost | -0.14u |
| Dec 23, 2023 | seriea |
Bologna
Atalanta
|
Result | home | 2.90 | 51.7% | 0.498 | 0.37u | Won | +0.70u |
| Dec 22, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Genoa
|
Result | home | 4.33 | 41.3% | 0.788 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Dec 22, 2023 | seriea |
AC Milan
|
Result | draw | 3.10 | 41.1% | 0.241 | 0.12u | Won | +0.25u |
| Dec 22, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
|
Result | home | 2.80 | 55.8% | 0.561 | 0.66u | Lost | -0.66u |
| Dec 17, 2023 | seriea |
AC Milan
|
Result | draw | 4.75 | 52.1% | 0.696 | 0.44u | Lost | -0.44u |
| Dec 17, 2023 | seriea |
Udinese
Sassuolo
|
Result | draw | 4.50 | 46.2% | 0.649 | 0.40u | Won | +1.40u |
| Dec 17, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Hellas Verona
|
Result | home | 4.00 | 47.5% | 0.902 | 0.50u | Won | +1.50u |
| Dec 17, 2023 | seriea |
Bologna
AS Roma
|
Result | home | 2.45 | 52.5% | 0.285 | 0.16u | Won | +0.23u |
| Dec 16, 2023 | seriea |
Lecce
|
Result | draw | 4.00 | 53.4% | 0.363 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Dec 16, 2023 | seriea |
Napoli
Cagliari
|
Result | away | 3.60 | 47.5% | 0.285 | 0.30u | Lost | -0.30u |
| Dec 16, 2023 | seriea |
Torino
|
Result | draw | 3.40 | 43.4% | 0.598 | 0.79u | Lost | -0.79u |
| Dec 15, 2023 | seriea |
Genoa
Juventus
|
Result | home | 4.50 | 40.8% | 0.836 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Dec 11, 2023 | seriea |
Cagliari
Sassuolo
|
Result | home | 2.55 | 45.3% | 0.154 | 0.79u | Won | +1.22u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.