Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 7, 2026 9:21 AM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.34 | 46.8% | 0.245 | 0.17u | Won | +0.23u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Kansas City Royals
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 1.94 | 65.0% | 0.257 | 0.23u | Won | +0.22u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 36.6% | 0.490 | 0.35u | Won | +0.47u |
| Apr 3, 2023 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Chicago Cubs
|
Home cover | away | 2.12 | 40.4% | 0.264 | 0.40u | Lost | -0.40u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 54.0% | 0.400 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.04 | 33.6% | 0.354 | 0.34u | Won | +0.35u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Tampa Bay Rays
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.63 | 35.6% | 0.694 | 0.34u | Lost | -0.34u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.41 | 45.2% | 0.320 | 0.29u | Won | +0.41u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 55.1% | 0.477 | 0.34u | Won | +0.57u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | home | 1.91 | 62.8% | 0.200 | 0.15u | Won | +0.14u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.14 | 41.6% | 0.251 | 0.39u | Lost | -0.39u |
| Apr 2, 2023 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.11 | 42.0% | 0.225 | 0.32u | Lost | -0.32u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Cincinnati Reds
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.48 | 45.2% | 0.359 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.37 | 51.2% | 0.213 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Chicago White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 39.0% | 0.214 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.52 | 37.7% | 0.571 | 0.36u | Won | +0.55u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | home | 2.30 | 62.5% | 0.439 | 0.36u | Lost | -0.36u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.37 | 37.6% | 0.480 | 0.36u | Won | +0.49u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.00 | 41.0% | 0.181 | 0.20u | Won | +0.20u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.06 | 43.4% | 0.165 | 0.16u | Lost | -0.16u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.28 | 42.8% | 0.304 | 0.39u | Won | +0.50u |
| Apr 1, 2023 | seriea |
Juventus
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 51.9% | 0.234 | 1.20u | Won | +1.65u |
| Mar 31, 2023 | mlb |
Miami Marlins
New York Mets
|
Home cover | home | 2.07 | 55.7% | 0.153 | 0.60u | Won | +0.64u |
| Mar 31, 2023 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.34 | 63.6% | 0.489 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Mar 31, 2023 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.49 | 45.6% | 0.355 | 1.19u | Won | +1.77u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.46 | 53.6% | 0.318 | 0.51u | Won | +0.74u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
New York Yankees
San Francisco Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 42.4% | 0.412 | 0.56u | Lost | -0.56u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Toronto Blue Jays
|
Home cover | home | 2.27 | 50.8% | 0.154 | 0.22u | Won | +0.28u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 44.0% | 0.147 | 0.23u | Won | +0.24u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Milwaukee Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.29 | 48.6% | 0.176 | 0.28u | Lost | -0.28u |
| Mar 30, 2023 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.51 | 41.7% | 0.463 | 0.54u | Won | +0.82u |
| Mar 19, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Lecce
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 64.8% | 0.297 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Mar 12, 2023 | seriea |
Juventus
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 65.8% | 0.382 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Mar 10, 2023 | seriea |
Spezia
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.75 | 65.8% | 0.810 | 1.20u | Won | +2.10u |
| Feb 26, 2023 | seriea |
Udinese
Spezia
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 52.8% | 0.083 | 0.63u | Won | +0.66u |
| Feb 19, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Lazio
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 53.3% | 0.093 | 0.71u | Lost | -0.71u |
| Feb 17, 2023 | seriea |
Sassuolo
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.25 | 62.3% | 0.402 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 13, 2023 | seriea |
Sampdoria
Internazionale
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 64.4% | 0.932 | 1.20u | Won | +2.40u |
| Feb 7, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 66.6% | 0.664 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Feb 6, 2023 | seriea |
Monza
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 62.5% | 0.250 | 1.20u | Won | +1.20u |
| Feb 5, 2023 | seriea |
Spezia
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 62.3% | 0.870 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jan 28, 2023 | seriea |
Empoli
Torino
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 56.0% | 0.470 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Jan 22, 2023 | seriea |
Monza
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 55.3% | 0.134 | 1.02u | Won | +1.07u |
| Jan 21, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Torino
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.40 | 53.9% | 0.832 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Jan 21, 2023 | seriea |
Salernitana
Napoli
|
Home draw | away | 3.75 | 48.5% | 0.932 | 0.80u | Won | +2.20u |
| Jan 14, 2023 | seriea |
Internazionale
Hellas Verona
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 69.9% | 0.469 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Jan 8, 2023 | seriea |
AC Milan
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.63 | 72.9% | 0.912 | 1.20u | Won | +1.95u |
| Jan 7, 2023 | seriea |
Fiorentina
Sassuolo
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.38 | 82.8% | 0.966 | 1.20u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jan 4, 2023 | seriea |
Internazionale
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.05 | 64.6% | 0.324 | 0.50u | Won | +0.53u |
| Jan 4, 2023 | seriea |
AS Roma
Bologna
|
Home draw | 1x | 3.00 | 63.3% | 0.899 | 1.00u | Won | +2.00u |
| Nov 10, 2022 | seriea |
Hellas Verona
Juventus
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.30 | 67.4% | 0.550 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Nov 8, 2022 | seriea |
Napoli
Empoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.30 | 69.2% | 0.593 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Nov 3, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.13 | 45.6% | 0.159 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Nov 2, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.58 | 39.1% | 0.570 | 1.20u | Won | +1.90u |
| Oct 30, 2022 | seriea |
Cremonese
Udinese
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.10 | 67.4% | 0.415 | 1.20u | Won | +1.32u |
| Oct 23, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.59 | 56.2% | 0.456 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 21, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
San Diego Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 47.2% | 0.283 | 0.99u | Lost | -0.99u |
| Oct 20, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 57.9% | 0.453 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 19, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 54.8% | 0.211 | 0.79u | Won | +0.96u |
| Oct 19, 2022 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.18 | 40.9% | 0.288 | 1.01u | Lost | -1.01u |
| Oct 17, 2022 | seriea |
Sampdoria
AS Roma
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.20 | 60.5% | 0.331 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 16, 2022 | seriea |
Napoli
Bologna
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 58.3% | 0.457 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Oct 15, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.56 | 46.3% | 0.374 | 0.61u | Lost | -0.61u |
| Oct 15, 2022 | mlb |
San Diego Padres
Los Angeles Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.54 | 46.7% | 0.354 | 0.59u | Lost | -0.59u |
| Oct 15, 2022 | mlb |
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.23 | 47.2% | 0.177 | 0.23u | Lost | -0.23u |
| Oct 15, 2022 | mlb |
Cleveland Guardians
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.43 | 48.8% | 0.244 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Oct 14, 2022 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Cleveland Guardians
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 46.8% | 0.266 | 0.97u | Won | +1.34u |
| Oct 9, 2022 | seriea |
Cremonese
Napoli
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.50 | 50.8% | 0.270 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Oct 8, 2022 | seriea |
AC Milan
Juventus
|
Home draw | away | 3.80 | 49.9% | 0.903 | 1.00u | Lost | -1.00u |
| Oct 8, 2022 | seriea |
Bologna
Sampdoria
|
Home draw | 1x | 2.00 | 64.8% | 0.296 | 0.50u | Won | +0.50u |
| Oct 8, 2022 | mlb |
Cleveland Guardians
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 48.5% | 0.266 | 0.91u | Lost | -0.91u |
| Oct 5, 2022 | mlb |
Boston Red Sox
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.32 | 47.4% | 0.220 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Oct 5, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 48.0% | 0.145 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Oct 4, 2022 | mlb |
New York Mets
Washington Nationals
|
Home cover | home | 2.51 | 54.1% | 0.358 | 0.69u | Lost | -0.69u |
| Oct 4, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Detroit Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 40.0% | 0.302 | 0.70u | Lost | -0.70u |
| Oct 4, 2022 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.02 | 40.0% | 0.212 | 0.41u | Lost | -0.41u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago White Sox
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | away | 1.99 | 40.0% | 0.194 | 0.27u | Won | +0.27u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Texas Rangers
New York Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.17 | 54.1% | 0.174 | 0.20u | Lost | -0.20u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.38 | 40.0% | 0.428 | 0.45u | Won | +0.62u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Oakland Athletics
Los Angeles Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 40.0% | 0.260 | 0.43u | Lost | -0.43u |
| Oct 3, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.17 | 36.4% | 0.381 | 0.45u | Won | +0.53u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 54.1% | 0.325 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.43 | 54.1% | 0.315 | 0.35u | Won | +0.50u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 54.1% | 0.380 | 0.39u | Won | +0.60u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
Chicago Cubs
Cincinnati Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 54.1% | 0.239 | 0.25u | Won | +0.32u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.31 | 54.1% | 0.250 | 0.27u | Lost | -0.27u |
| Oct 2, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.20 | 54.1% | 0.190 | 0.17u | Lost | -0.17u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Dodgers
Colorado Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 2.28 | 54.1% | 0.233 | 0.11u | Won | +0.14u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.00 | 83.3% | 0.667 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Detroit Tigers
Minnesota Twins
|
Home cover | home | 2.49 | 54.1% | 0.347 | 0.29u | Won | +0.43u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.46 | 36.4% | 0.566 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.57 | 54.1% | 0.390 | 0.35u | Won | +0.55u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | mlb |
Los Angeles Angels
Texas Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.68 | 54.1% | 0.450 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Oct 1, 2022 | seriea |
Internazionale
AS Roma
|
Home draw | away | 3.75 | 46.8% | 0.994 | 1.20u | Won | +3.30u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
Washington Nationals
Philadelphia Phillies
|
Home cover | home | 2.36 | 54.1% | 0.277 | 0.37u | Lost | -0.37u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
Houston Astros
Tampa Bay Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.29 | 54.1% | 0.239 | 0.31u | Lost | -0.31u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
Seattle Mariners
Oakland Athletics
|
Home cover | home | 2.10 | 54.1% | 0.136 | 0.12u | Lost | -0.12u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
Milwaukee Brewers
Miami Marlins
|
Home cover | home | 2.21 | 54.1% | 0.196 | 0.22u | Lost | -0.22u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
New York Yankees
Baltimore Orioles
|
Home cover | home | 2.33 | 54.1% | 0.261 | 0.35u | Lost | -0.35u |
| Sep 30, 2022 | mlb |
San Francisco Giants
Arizona Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | home | 2.61 | 83.3% | 1.175 | 0.43u | Won | +0.69u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.