Case Archive
Historical Audit
Complete searchable history of model recommendations and backtest performance.
Last synced: Apr 4, 2026 6:30 PM EDT
| Date | Sport | Game | Market | Pick | Odds | Prob | EV/Unit | Units | Result | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Rangers
|
Home cover | home | 2.65 | 50.0% | 0.325 | 0.98u | Won | +1.62u |
| Aug 11, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Rockies
|
Home cover | home | 3.30 | 50.0% | 0.650 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 11, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Aug 10, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Yankees
|
Home cover | home | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.300 | 0.73u | Won | +1.17u |
| Aug 10, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Cubs
|
Home cover | home | 2.75 | 50.0% | 0.375 | 1.07u | Won | +1.87u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.176 | 0.13u | Won | +0.18u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Astros
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.78u | Won | +1.13u |
| Aug 9, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.55 | 50.0% | 0.275 | 0.89u | Lost | -0.89u |
| Aug 8, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
White Sox
|
Home cover | home | 2.95 | 50.0% | 0.476 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Aug 7, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Phillies
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 50.0% | 0.301 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.200 | 0.65u | Lost | -0.65u |
| Aug 6, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Brewers
|
Home cover | home | 2.85 | 50.0% | 0.425 | 1.15u | Won | +2.13u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 0.84u | Won | +1.26u |
| Aug 5, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.175 | 0.65u | Won | +0.88u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.75 | 50.0% | 0.376 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Aug 4, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.45 | 50.0% | 0.225 | 0.73u | Won | +1.06u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Reds
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 0.84u | Lost | -0.84u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | home | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Won | +1.01u |
| Aug 3, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.201 | 0.24u | Lost | -0.24u |
| Aug 2, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 50.0% | 0.151 | 0.58u | Won | +0.75u |
| Aug 1, 2019 | mlb |
Marlins
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 50.0% | 0.201 | 0.72u | Lost | -0.72u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Rays
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.250 | 0.83u | Lost | -0.83u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | home | 2.50 | 50.0% | 0.251 | 0.84u | Won | +1.26u |
| Jul 31, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 50.0% | 0.176 | 0.13u | Won | +0.18u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Mariners
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 39.9% | 0.413 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jul 30, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 37.9% | 0.303 | 0.60u | Won | +0.66u |
| Jul 29, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Braves
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 41.6% | 0.313 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 29, 2019 | mlb |
Rockies
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 41.6% | 0.518 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 28, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.70 | 41.0% | 0.593 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Jul 28, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 43.8% | 0.376 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 27, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 41.5% | 0.259 | 0.60u | Won | +0.69u |
| Jul 27, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Pirates
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.4% | 0.357 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 26, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Orioles
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 43.0% | 0.424 | 0.60u | Won | +0.90u |
| Jul 26, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 40.2% | 0.466 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 25, 2019 | mlb |
Royals
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 41.9% | 0.337 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 25, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 40.4% | 0.400 | 1.20u | Won | +1.62u |
| Jul 24, 2019 | mlb |
Mets
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.7% | 0.324 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 24, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 40.3% | 0.373 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jul 23, 2019 | mlb |
Nationals
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.7% | 0.289 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 23, 2019 | mlb |
Pirates
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 43.8% | 0.489 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| Jul 22, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 44.3% | 0.393 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 22, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 42.7% | 0.347 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 21, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.5% | 0.293 | 0.62u | Lost | -0.62u |
| Jul 21, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 43.1% | 0.308 | 1.18u | Won | +1.53u |
| Jul 20, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 40.8% | 0.361 | 1.20u | Won | +1.56u |
| Jul 20, 2019 | mlb |
Astros
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.9% | 0.318 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 19, 2019 | mlb |
Rays
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 41.5% | 0.433 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 19, 2019 | mlb |
Braves
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 40.2% | 0.376 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 18, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 42.2% | 0.357 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 18, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Cardinals
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 42.1% | 0.418 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 17, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.8% | 0.348 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 17, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 42.9% | 0.400 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 16, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 43.8% | 0.236 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 16, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 44.3% | 0.393 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 15, 2019 | mlb |
Cubs
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 44.4% | 0.363 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 15, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.1% | 0.257 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 14, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Dodgers
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 44.5% | 0.442 | 1.20u | Won | +1.92u |
| Jul 14, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.7% | 0.327 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 13, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.1% | 0.341 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 13, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.0% | 0.232 | 0.60u | Won | +0.72u |
| Jul 12, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 44.2% | 0.396 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jul 12, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Giants
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.2% | 0.339 | 0.60u | Won | +0.84u |
| Jul 11, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 44.4% | 0.224 | 0.93u | Lost | -0.93u |
| Jul 7, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 44.5% | 0.331 | 1.18u | Won | +1.65u |
| Jul 7, 2019 | mlb |
Mariners
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 44.4% | 0.251 | 0.62u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jul 6, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Red Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.60 | 44.3% | 0.450 | 0.60u | Won | +0.96u |
| Jul 6, 2019 | mlb |
Twins
Rangers
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 43.6% | 0.495 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 5, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.70 | 44.6% | 0.497 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 5, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Padres
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 44.3% | 0.365 | 0.60u | Won | +0.87u |
| Jul 4, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 44.0% | 0.401 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jul 4, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 44.1% | 0.397 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 3, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Angels
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 44.7% | 0.356 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 3, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.8% | 0.321 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jul 2, 2019 | mlb |
Dodgers
Diamondbacks
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 38.3% | 0.450 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jul 2, 2019 | mlb |
Reds
Brewers
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 36.5% | 0.557 | 1.20u | Won | +1.74u |
| Jul 1, 2019 | mlb |
Blue Jays
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 46.1% | 0.212 | 0.85u | Lost | -0.85u |
| Jun 30, 2019 | mlb |
White Sox
Twins
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 39.0% | 0.343 | 0.73u | Won | +0.88u |
| Jun 30, 2019 | mlb |
Padres
Cardinals
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 50.5% | 0.363 | 1.07u | Lost | -1.07u |
| Jun 29, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
Yankees
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 43.8% | 0.209 | 0.68u | Won | +0.78u |
| Jun 29, 2019 | mlb |
Orioles
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 45.3% | 0.313 | 1.12u | Lost | -1.12u |
| Jun 28, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.25 | 42.7% | 0.289 | 0.60u | Won | +0.75u |
| Jun 28, 2019 | mlb |
Tigers
Nationals
|
Home cover | away | 2.15 | 37.5% | 0.345 | 1.20u | Won | +1.38u |
| Jun 27, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.55 | 45.1% | 0.401 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 27, 2019 | mlb |
Phillies
Mets
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 47.8% | 0.200 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 26, 2019 | mlb |
Angels
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.10 | 43.7% | 0.183 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 26, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Athletics
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 42.7% | 0.432 | 1.20u | Won | +1.80u |
| Jun 25, 2019 | mlb |
Red Sox
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 44.5% | 0.387 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 25, 2019 | mlb |
Giants
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 38.2% | 0.482 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 24, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Royals
|
Home cover | away | 2.40 | 43.8% | 0.350 | 1.20u | Won | +1.68u |
| Jun 24, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Blue Jays
|
Home cover | away | 2.30 | 42.3% | 0.327 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 23, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
White Sox
|
Home cover | away | 2.45 | 47.8% | 0.278 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 23, 2019 | mlb |
Athletics
Rays
|
Home cover | away | 2.20 | 40.8% | 0.302 | 1.20u | Won | +1.44u |
| Jun 22, 2019 | mlb |
Indians
Tigers
|
Home cover | home | 2.70 | 52.7% | 0.424 | 1.20u | Won | +2.04u |
| Jun 22, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 43.8% | 0.320 | 0.60u | Lost | -0.60u |
| Jun 21, 2019 | mlb |
Brewers
Reds
|
Home cover | away | 2.35 | 41.6% | 0.372 | 0.60u | Won | +0.81u |
| Jun 21, 2019 | mlb |
Yankees
Astros
|
Home cover | away | 2.50 | 42.5% | 0.437 | 1.20u | Lost | -1.20u |
| Jun 20, 2019 | mlb |
Diamondbacks
Rockies
|
Home cover | away | 2.65 | 33.5% | 0.762 | 1.20u | Won | +1.98u |
| Jun 20, 2019 | mlb |
Cardinals
Marlins
|
Home cover | away | 1.95 | 42.0% | 0.133 | 0.60u | Won | +0.57u |
| Jun 19, 2019 | mlb |
Rangers
Indians
|
Home cover | away | 2.05 | 37.8% | 0.275 | 0.60u | Won | +0.63u |
* These predictions were generated during model backtesting and represent the model's performance on historical data.