Time Home Away Market Pick Line Prob% Odds EV Edge Stake
MLB  ·  10 picks
6:35 PM Baltimore Orioles Texas Rangers spread away 0.00 64.5% -110 0.232 14.5% 0.26u
6:40 PM Miami Marlins Chicago White Sox spread away 0.00 70.8% -110 0.352 20.8% 0.40u
6:40 PM Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates spread away 0.00 67.1% -110 0.281 17.1% 0.37u
6:40 PM Philadelphia Phillies Washington Nationals spread away 0.00 60.7% -110 0.160 10.7% 0.13u
6:40 PM Cincinnati Reds Pittsburgh Pirates total under 8.50 57.2% -110 0.092 7.2% 0.15u
7:15 PM Atlanta Braves Athletics total under 8.50 56.5% -110 0.079 6.5% 0.13u
7:40 PM Milwaukee Brewers Tampa Bay Rays spread away 0.00 64% -110 0.222 14.0% 0.24u
7:40 PM Chicago Cubs Los Angeles Angels total under 8.50 62.2% -110 0.188 12.2% 0.31u
7:45 PM St. Louis Cardinals New York Mets spread away 0.00 69.5% -110 0.326 19.5% 0.40u
7:45 PM St. Louis Cardinals New York Mets total under 8.50 58.4% -110 0.115 8.4% 0.19u
NHL  ·  10 picks
7:00 PM New York Rangers New Jersey Devils spread away -1.50 52.9% +220 0.692 22.9% 0.64u
7:00 PM Boston Bruins Dallas Stars spread away -1.50 51.8% +205 0.581 20.4% 0.48u
7:00 PM Florida Panthers Ottawa Senators moneyline home 49.9% +142 0.207 10.2% 0.29u
7:00 PM Florida Panthers Ottawa Senators spread away -1.50 48.5% +142 0.174 8.9% 0.06u
7:00 PM Florida Panthers Ottawa Senators total under 5.50 51.3% +114 0.099 6.5% 0.17u
7:00 PM Boston Bruins Dallas Stars total under 5.50 51.5% +110 0.081 5.7% 0.14u
7:00 PM New York Rangers New Jersey Devils moneyline home 52% +100 0.040 4.2% 0.08u
7:00 PM Boston Bruins Dallas Stars moneyline home 51.2% +100 0.024 3.4% 0.05u
7:30 PM Columbus Blue Jackets Carolina Hurricanes spread away -1.50 51.7% +180 0.449 17.5% 0.32u
7:30 PM Columbus Blue Jackets Carolina Hurricanes moneyline home 50.2% +110 0.054 4.5% 0.20u
Prob% = model-calibrated win probability
EV = expected value per unit wagered
Edge = model prob − market implied prob
Stake = Kelly-sized bet in units
Sherlock Picks